The West must remain vigilant and cannot get complacent about current political situation in BiH.

In today"s Bosnia thousands of houses around the country have been repaired. Freedom of movement is taken for granted and a very high number of refugees have received back title to their old homes. It is no wonder that outsiders familiar with the bad old days are impressed. Some have even actively naively supported a "Bosnia model" for Iraq or Kosovo.

Unfortunately, while all the positive changes are real and significant, Bosnia is still a long way from being a healthy, normal country. In fact, the reality is that the International Community is the essential factor providing the economic underpinning for the country and preventing it from sliding back into conflict and possibly even violence.
1. The dominant feature of Bosnia remains ethnicity. Each of the three main ethnic groups remains wedded to the same views - and prejudices - they had during the fighting itself. While they have all been dissuaded/persuaded/discouraged/prevented from using violence, they continue to play out their differences in virtually every other way. This is the primary factor by far why Bosnia is not working today. This pervasive animosity/suspicion towards the other ethnic groups has diminished little, if at all, over the past twelve years. This is not particularly surprising given both the brutal nature of the fighting in Bosnia and the fact that many of the acts of ethnic cleansing and other war crimes were carried out by neighbors or acquaintances who are still living freely in Bosnia. For anyone doubting this view, take a look at the number of inter-ethnic marriages. Prior to the war, the figure was very high. Now I suspect it is almost nil.

2. The goal of the Dayton Peace Agreement was to end the years of bloody warfare in Bosnia. In this regard it was successful. But the resulting agreement was a mixture of compromise, idealism, conflicting goals, and concessions to each of the three ethnic groups. It codified a complex system of entities, cantons with a weak central government, three different Parliaments and three different Prime Ministers. Each of the three ethnic groups holds tightly to those parts of the Dayton Agreement, which suit its purposes and consistently try to chip away at those parts, which do not. Its emphasis on ethnicity on all questions actually helps to perpetuate the ethnic problems in the country and its complex structure is the main roadblock to progress in Bosnia.

3. EU "softly-softly" approach promising closer ties to the EU and eventual membership is no longer effective in getting the parties to come together . The reasons are the continued importance of ethnic beliefs on the one hand and the lack of any concrete time frame for EU membership on the other. Weakening international (Western) military presence in de facto divided Bosnia gives extremists on all sides "political ammunition".
4. The term "Bosniak" was originally used in the initial phases of the war to describe numerous Bosnians of all ethnicities who wanted to work together to keep the newly independent state functioning. One of the saddest commentaries about today's situation is that the term now is simply the politically correct way to describe Bosnian Muslims and nothing more.

5. Returning properties all over Bosnia to the rightful owners was heralded as a success but a very high number of the restored properties are either sold quickly, traded, or are inhabited very infrequently, if at all.

6. Freedom of religion is one of the most important human rights and one, which Americans in particular treasure. In Bosnia, however, this very freedom of expression is either deliberately being used to provoke the other ethnic groups or they perceive this to be the case. Regardless of the truth of the matter, the end result is that overt/public religious expression in Bosnia is helping to widen, not shrink, the gap between the ethnic groups.

7. The amount of international financial assistance to Bosnia in the past has been several billions of dollars. Where all that money has gone ? Apart from military spendings a very significant portion has been used to pay the costs of various outsiders (members of the International Police Task Force, security personnel, personnel in the Office of High Representative, various NGO's, and advisers of all kinds). Infrastructure remains a huge unsolved problem. The road network, twelve years after Dayton is largely ignored by all sides. The end result is that far too little is to show for all the resources spent.

8. . BiH inherited all trappings of the pre-war Yugoslav federation. The Bosnian Muslims (Bosniaks) have always wanted a strong centralized state and view BiH as a whole in other words they identify with all of it. The other two ethnic groups do not. The Bosniaks are the most numerous and therefore at least in theory would be the most powerful group. The Bosnian Serbs to a person consider that they live in the Republika Srpska and will do all they can to maintain or expand their autonomy. The Bosnian Croats clutch their Croatian passports and work only to ensure that the equal rights they received in Dayton remain intact. These three fundamental viewpoints are mutually exclusive and explain why the system is deadlocked now and is likely to remain that way for the foreseeable future.

9. Primarily because it is more effective and in keeping with their own national experiences, the key members of the International Community are sympathetic to the Bosniak viewpoint on how Bosnia should function. In other words, they are uncomfortable with the degree of autonomy given to each entity, the weak central government, and the veto powers given to each ethnic group by the Dayton Agreement. That accounts for why various High Representatives have pressed the parties so hard to "voluntarily" give more power to the centralized state at the expense of the entities and why they have stretched their powers to the legal limit to make the system more workable. The current crisis involving the decisions of the High Representative is precisely over these issues.

10. Finally, there are factors are coming together to create a potentially serious crisis in Bosnia. These include the impact of Kosovo; increased nationalist sentiment in Serbia; the growing frustration of all the Bosnian parties over years of rule by the International Community; and the waning interest of the International Community in Bosnia. Moreover, all the key political parties understand that the role of the International Community is diminishing and will continue to do so. This is emboldening them to make statements and take actions, which they would not have dared to do several years ago. In other words, the forces, which have kept Bosnia stabile for twelve years, are weakening while the destabilizing factors are growing in strength. It's a bad combination.
The West and International Community must remain vigilant...

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Pjesmicu koju su nauchili i Crnogorski protivnici u CG i ko crne kukavice poju svaki dan gazeci sve ljudsko za rad bijedne prodate i progurane lazi.


Koliko su oni chisti, Italijanska policija, sudstvo, afera"chiste ruke", oni kojima ubijaju ljude helihopterima NATA pa Americi ne smiju zucnuti, oni koji su preko Kraksija pokazali kakvi su ljudi, oni koji su ubijali i ubijaju najpoznatije advokate u Italiji, tuzioce, bankare, novinare, politicare, kidnapuju, ucjenjuju itd . Leglo korupcije od 30 miliona ljudi, baza mafije, narko i porno industrije oni da sole pamet CG?

Malo previse. Od koga je, previse je.


Ko je dozvolio i smatra da je u redu da mu qrva pricha o postenju, taj je budaletina.



Sto se tiche kritike Njemachkog Ambasadora, ipak je on premlad i bez nekog iskustva stigao u CG, i ovo je dobra lekcija od Rocena.

Quote:
Jesu smijesni i bijedni ovi sto bi najradije svima okrenuli pozadinu kao u ime demokratije, a u stvari zbog lichnog zadovoljstva.

Gospodo, Napulj ima 1 000000 stanovnika, visina kriminala, ubistava, korupcije, i grad gdje policija ne smije slobodno da se krece, ne smije da hapsi, ne smije sudija da presudi, a ni tuzilac da tuzi. Pa samo zbog ovog jednog grada taj Italijan ne bi mogao nista da kaze a kamoli da se poziva na demokratsku EU sa njima takvima.

Ovo je poznato svima sem toboznjim "karakternim" demokratama iz CG.
Chitav taj Rimski aparat ne moze da stane na kraj sa tim gradom, da ne spominjemo svaki region, Genovu koja kao lucki grad vise "demokratski" zivi na principima luchke mafije, Bari, kidnapovanja, pljachke, ubistva novinara (ne prebijanje, time se It mafija ne sluzi nego linchovanjem), Milano - industrijska mafija, uz trafiking, kineskim fabrikama gdje rade djeca od 7-8 godina za bijedne novce i prespavanje u minimalnim prostorijama po 10. To sve Italijansko sudstvo i politichari znaju, znaju da se djeca zloupotrebljavaju, da se 'obojena' djeca ubijaju po skolama, samoubistva, maltretiranje tezih bolesnika uz snimke koji su objavljeni po netu TV,, ubistvo momka na demonstracijama od strane policije, koja nakon x sudjenja nije okrivljena i pored video snimka poznatog chitavoj javnosti Italije.

Italijanski parlament koji trosi milijarde godishnje za putne troshkove parlamentaraca i smjestaje po hotelima, telefonske i sve luksuzne isprozivane od naroda Italije beneficije, na koje se Italijanski aparat smijulji svaki dan na TV i ne fermaju narodnu kritiku, jer poslanichke beneficije nece da se odreknu.

Dok ljudi 70% gradjana juzne i srednje Italije smjesteni u drzavnim blokovima, u bijedi pod zakonom kriminala, a ne zakonom zapadne EU, bez vode, uz loshu kanalizacionu infrastrukturu, poljoprivredu juga koja se zasniva na bacanju i trulenju voca i povrca, jer im drzava ne garantuje nista. Sjever industrija koja za bijedne novce koje bi svaki CG gradjanin prezreo i odbio u CG, i to na crno, na zatvaranje ochiju IT vlade.

Korupcija, koliko je hidrocentrala u It izgradjeno na mjestima gdje nema ni potoka, mostova koji stoje u prostorima bez puta u okolini, kompleksi stanova od drzavnog novca koji trunu godinama jer je neko iz regiona i opstina uzeo novac i pocheo radove za sminku da bi taj novac oprali i prebacili u Svajcarsku.
Duvanski shverc Italije i bez Balkana je funkcionisao uz saglasnost Italije 50 godina i nista nisu uradili. Kako to da ne optuzise Svajcarskiu za svih ovih 50 godina kad su sa njom imali i dan danas imajute probleme, chuvaju svoje veze kroz granichne oblasti za pranje novca od istog.

Italijanski politichki aparat okrece milijarde za nikakav napredak socijalnog stanovnistva, ostavljaju ih u bijedi, bez civilizovanih uslova za zivot, otrovnim supstancama u vodama, u vazduhu, fabrike plastike koje odnose zivote i zivote, hemikalije, najteze bolestine bez socijalne pomoci, radijacije sa antenama za sve i svasta pored kuca, koje po zakonu ne bi smjele tog tipa biti u blizini naselja. Koliko oboljelih, bez socijalnih uslova, bolnice sa smecem, opljachkane, otvorene i sa svim ostavljene bez med. osoblja. Higijena u drugima na nivou africhkih drzava. Korupcija, pljachka, sex izivljavanje nad uslovljenim sekretaricama, seficama, zenskim svijetom uopste.


"Demokratama" sto okrecu pozadinu za zadovoljenje je ovo vec poznato?